I agree with you (and Bill Clinton) that no one should be pressured to drop out this soon. Better for the longterm good of the party (and the eventual nominee) that the process play itself out through June, and if necessary to the convention. It's more transparent that way.

It is Obama's future that will be better served by dropping out (or going on hold) sooner. If he does, then Wright and Rezko are no longer relevant and won't be drummed continually; by 2016 they may be forgotten. Obama will have time to find a better staff to do a better job of vetting him, distance himself sooner rather than later from whatever other nuts and jailbirds he's supporting, learn better damage control. He might even use the time to get some real experience, by  becoming governor of some little red state and uniting it.

The longer he stays in this race, the more the GOP will dig out on his past; if Obama gets out of the spotlight, the GOP and Fox will go after Hillary instead. The more gaffes he will make. The more he will have to act like Bush2000, blocking vote counts/revotes.

Everything is trending down for him for the rest of this campaign. If people SEE him lose in votes and polls, that will be more transparent and better for Hillary and the party -- but worse for him.

I don't think Obama ever expected to get this far. I don't think he had a Plan A-.

Heh, I like to hang out at Big Pink myself and I've never heard anything racist.

You should Read Jerome's post of the main page. Ever counting MI and FL Obama is ahead in pledged delegates.

Including MI & FL, Clinton is only behind in pledged-delegates by 46-56 delegates

hahahahhahahaha

You really think Michigan's results should count?

Even better, you think that they should count as they stand?

Even though nobody else was on the ballot? That's not how we do things in America.

Obama has very close to 0 votes in Michigan...

Yeah, well, he

wasn't

on

the

ballot

because he followed DNC rules and Clinton did not. It's easy to wind up with zero votes that way, I agree; it doesn't make that a valid election, however.

Hillary is ahead on democratic party majority

Hillary is projected to be ahead on total popular vote

Hillary is ahead on pledged delegates

IF we count every state who votes in 2008 not just the ones Obama and Dean like.

What is the evidence Obama supporters are motivated by sexism?

There's an information time-lag (as well as the usual stages beginning with Denial).

The MSM talking leg-thrillers may still be in Denial stage about the Wright tapes. They're telling each other, Oh, he made a speech and now none of US are remembering Wright, so Wright's all gone.... And some SDs and bigwigs who listen only to MSM are putting their heads together under the sand to enable continuing the koolaid party.

The blue-collar Dem base who has better things to do with their Sunday mornings than listen to talking heads -- like going to their OWN churches -- hasn't heard the Wright tapes yet, except those who watch Fox. But Fox will keep the tapes out there circulating, and local papers and preachers are talking about them, and the soccer moms listen to their car radios, and the urls are circulating in email....

Wright is percolating through the slower channels, that don't watch MSM pundits. Coffee is brewing. Eventually the smell will reach to the levels of SDs who do listen to their constituents, and eventually up to the DNC.

Care to show your workings?

Obama has never trailed in the pledged delegate count.

Obama currently leads in total delegates. He has added to this lead by closing the Super Delegate gap consistently since Super Tuesday.

Obama currently has an insurmountable lead in pledged delegates and in the popular vote. He is going to pad these with a close loss in PA coupled with another Wisconsin-like blowout in North Carolina.

I thought that really crossed the border.

Tell that to Donna Brazile, who blamed Obama's New Hampshire loss on the Bradley effect. A Bradley effect, among Democrats.

There's a lot of parallel between the Palmer race and the race with Hillary. A popular elder woman in a good position -- he tries to knock her out of her position (and knee-cap her) so he can grab a lucky chance, instead of working his way up with the help she offered.

Palmer had a safe seat; by accepting her help and that of her supporters, he could have got ANOTHER seat, making TWO seats for his faction. Instead he chose to knock her out of politics, replace her with himself, inexperienced and with enemies. (And then quickly abandoned that seat, trying to run for higher office himself, and failing against Rush.)

In this contest, the Dems could have got 16 years in the White House by running HIllary this time and Obama in 2016. Now because of Obama's bad judgement, we may get none.

Also, he 'won' against Palmer by avoiding a fair vote by back-room rules-gaming: he knocked all his opponents off the ballot. In this race also he has been avoiding fair votes: knocking out FL/MI revotes, going for caucus states, using intimidation in caucuses and in follow-ups. And now trying to stop the long contest among voters before it gets to the remaining states.

One advantage Obama has this year but might not in future, is the DNC/FL/MI mess. But since Brazile didn't support the FL Dem party against the FL GOP legislature's mischief of setting the conflicting primary date, that may encourage similar mischief by other GOP legislatures in future.

these postings somewhat in the manner of a biohistorian searching for the telltale signs of an outbreak of ergot fungus poisoning.  

Here's a thorough analysis which weights polls based on their pollster's historic accuracy and their age, etc:

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

Right now, it's not pretty. A month ago, Obama was +50 electoral and Clinton was only like -10 from a win, and it's gone downhill.

Yeah, honestly, that's how I feel at this point. I'm tired of Clinton/Obama supporters acting like we're supposed to beg them to vote Democratic if the other candidate gets the nomination.

See ya!